Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.544968 0.625509 0.713177 0.815601 0.931893 1.059740 1.210858
2025-01-12 0.415200 0.521981 0.648362 0.808611 1.006015 1.240846 1.540999
2025-01-19 0.313181 0.428533 0.576062 0.777737 1.045325 1.387154 1.855809
2025-01-26 0.258553 0.382445 0.552544 0.801517 1.154735 1.635650 2.337410
2025-02-02 0.220580 0.350653 0.541287 0.838317 1.286133 1.931930 2.928487
2025-02-09 0.183399 0.312091 0.512647 0.843951 1.372475 2.176216 3.481876
2025-02-16 0.152803 0.277269 0.482753 0.841244 1.443923 2.406446 4.045562
2025-02-23 0.129192 0.249039 0.457897 0.841318 1.518045 2.648810 4.659733
2025-03-02 0.109820 0.224218 0.434052 0.838198 1.584770 2.885936 5.294916
2025-03-09 0.096240 0.207374 0.421205 0.851848 1.681645 3.185112 6.073365
2025-03-16 0.082534 0.187441 0.398896 0.843554 1.735887 3.414000 6.753592
2025-03-23 0.073616 0.175604 0.390265 0.860103 1.838998 3.743991 7.659694
2025-03-30 0.063279 0.158822 0.369099 0.848676 1.886955 3.979245 8.423610
2025-04-06 0.056189 0.148020 0.358869 0.858813 1.980971 4.317430 9.435152
2025-04-13 0.047974 0.132764 0.335993 0.837180 2.003760 4.513659 10.182626
2025-04-20 0.044276 0.128090 0.336869 0.870146 2.152233 4.992042 11.582692
2025-04-27 0.041591 0.125519 0.342378 0.915019 2.334409 5.565505 13.257673
2025-05-04 0.037422 0.117969 0.334070 0.924481 2.434227 5.967987 14.600981
2025-05-11 0.033336 0.109739 0.322508 0.923697 2.508853 6.321777 15.875330
2025-05-18 0.029865 0.102558 0.312459 0.925188 2.589300 6.698697 17.248173
2025-05-25 0.026688 0.095551 0.301615 0.922687 2.658998 7.057949 18.620728
2025-06-01 0.024469 0.091136 0.297447 0.938242 2.778948 7.555362 20.389914
2025-06-08 0.021794 0.084546 0.285580 0.929539 2.831363 7.888333 21.784769